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Premier League Supercomputer predicts Liverpool will win title by nine points

Arsenal’s 5-1 victory over Manchester City has done little to convince the Supercomputer they are still in the title race – with Liverpool still projected to clinch the crown by nine points.

Nottingham Forest’s 7-0 hammering of Brighton sees them become the frontrunners to finish third ahead of Pep Guardiola’s side.

Bournemouth and Newcastle round out the top six, while Tottenham’s first win in eight matches has done nothing to convince the Supercomputer as they slip one place to 16th.

Wolves claimed a huge 2-0 victory over Aston Villa but are still tipped to go down as Leicester survive.

Pos

Team

MP

W

D

L

GF

GA

GD

Pts

diff

1

Liverpool

38

29

6

3

98

32

66

93

0

2

Arsenal

38

25

9

4

79

41

38

84

0

3

Notts Forest

38

22

8

8

65

49

16

74

1

4

Manchester City

38

22

7

9

84

49

35

73

-1

5

Bournemouth

38

21

9

8

71

41

30

72

0

6

Newcastle

38

20

8

10

65

46

19

68

0

7

Chelsea

38

18

10

10

74

53

21

64

1

8

Fulham

38

16

13

9

64

55

9

61

2

9

Aston Villa

38

18

7

13

59

53

6

61

-2

10

Brentford

38

15

5

18

62

61

1

50

1

11

Brighton

38

12

12

14

54

63

-9

48

-2

12

Man Utd

38

14

5

19

48

55

-7

47

0

13

Crystal Palace

38

11

10

17

47

58

-11

43

3

14

West Ham

38

11

10

17

45

70

-25

43

-1

15

Everton

38

10

11

17

40

54

-14

41

-1

16

Tottenham

38

11

7

20

68

64

4

40

-1

17

Leicester

38

7

9

22

43

82

-39

30

0

18

Wolves

38

6

6

26

46

83

-37

24

1

19

Ipswich

38

5

8

25

34

82

-48

23

-1

20

Southampton

38

4

6

28

30

85

-55

18

0

Table credit: CasinoHawks

How does the supercomputer work?

This table represents the model’s prediction of the final standings at the end of the season.

It incorporates any actual results that have occurred so far if any and predicts the exact scores for the remaining games to compile a final league table.

Now has added a Diff column which is the difference in position compared to last week’s table.

The position matrix is generated by simulating the entire season 10,000 times.

For each simulation, the code records where each team finishes in the table.

These results are then converted into percentages, showing the probability of each team finishing in each position in the league.

New is the simple Matrix, which is the same data but shown in a simpler way, so it gives the average position over 10,000 sims, title chance, UCL chance so (1st to 4th), UEL chance so (5th – 6th), ECL chance (7th) then relegation chance.
Joseph Agbobli
Joseph Agbobli
Football Correspondent at Binge Football. In the role of Football Correspondent, he's responsible for producing exclusive and original stories and interviews. Follow Joseph on X (formerly Twitter) @joseph_agbobli
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